Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 2931.497324 3167.680105 3406.923259 3667.092750 3941.718393 4222.666625 4531.482538
2024-12-29 2590.522257 2946.530006 3320.470552 3741.296279 4200.449917 4684.997202 5233.753962
2025-01-05 2343.565606 2770.515738 3231.235017 3762.823276 4356.688295 4997.179822 5737.601225
2025-01-12 2144.849063 2621.009056 3146.756007 3766.174641 4471.753339 5246.290451 6156.533972
2025-01-19 1915.382891 2416.247567 2981.484230 3660.602541 4448.238984 5326.926224 6375.049037
2025-01-26 1846.733951 2389.851280 3013.522495 3774.476348 4669.456936 5680.367127 6899.952233
2025-02-02 1766.594337 2342.498824 3014.814976 3847.054840 4838.675201 5971.613452 7352.636345
2025-02-09 1657.420692 2252.522014 2958.852899 3845.841783 4916.300795 6153.032498 7675.776249
2025-02-16 1546.445286 2153.532013 2885.918194 3818.561391 4958.079283 6288.710805 7942.744853
2025-02-23 1479.456485 2105.472818 2871.669609 3859.396954 5079.227733 6516.816522 8318.459301
2025-03-02 1397.517621 2033.704925 2823.901738 3855.271539 5142.778397 6674.108736 8608.822663
2025-03-09 1351.248561 2005.459673 2828.616638 3914.657023 5283.069862 6923.492647 9010.398154
2025-03-16 1267.646228 1925.277460 2765.296010 3887.475954 5316.568888 7045.166824 9261.519110
2025-03-23 1233.831900 1910.107194 2784.737297 3965.116575 5481.381202 7328.736634 9712.274483
2025-03-30 1180.296463 1865.231061 2762.918274 3987.591702 5575.171310 7524.148916 10055.342267
2025-04-06 1123.166255 1812.508647 2728.208983 3991.090447 5643.149414 7686.590648 10357.674552
2025-04-13 1027.323759 1700.816641 2610.199819 3880.859117 5561.236957 7658.335440 10420.554593
2025-04-20 1020.813262 1716.253590 2664.493487 3999.757073 5776.908442 8006.413791 10956.143417
2025-04-27 999.606359 1709.150607 2686.979689 4075.517031 5936.360366 8284.002378 11404.859953
2025-05-04 953.358917 1663.120156 2653.674751 4074.250930 5993.457609 8430.615664 11688.427020
2025-05-11 900.913006 1605.449020 2601.894285 4045.776465 6012.913607 8527.898030 11908.942173
2025-05-18 874.157257 1585.375870 2602.328480 4088.398589 6126.826187 8747.211477 12286.101287
2025-05-25 834.342455 1543.464553 2569.941463 4084.092912 6176.759503 8883.118717 12556.553448